Technical Analysis

Decoding Market Crashes: What Should Investors Do

technical analysis , trading , investor , charts , candles , market crash , investor

Stock market crashes can be frightening. For most investors, watching their portfolio lose value in a matter of weeks or days can induce panic. But history reveals that market crashes are not the end but a temporary phase in an otherwise longterm journey. The trick is to understand, prepare for, and react intelligently to them.

 In this blog, we'll crack the code:

 What's a market crash?

 Why do crashes occur?

 Indian market crash examples from history

 Typical investor reactions

 And most importantly: What should you do as an investor?

A market crash is a precipitous, sudden drop in stock prices in a large portion of the market—frequently 20% or more in a brief duration. Crashes result from panic selling, bad news, economic crises, or international shocks.

In contrast to normal corrections (510% drops), crashes are rapid, deep, and tend to be emotional.

Why Do Market Crashes Occur?

Market crashes typically occur as a result of a mix of:

 Economic slowdown or recession

 Geopolitical tensions or war

 Pandemics or natural disasters

 Corporate frauds or scams

 Global financial contagion

 Overvaluation or speculative bubbles burst

 Indian Market Crashes in History

Let's examine some actual Indian market crash scenarios and what caused them:

  1. Harshad Mehta Scam – 1992

 Crash cause: Harshad Mehta rigged stock prices by forging bank receipts.

 Effect: Sensex crashed from 4500 to 2500 levels.

 Lesson: Always ask for sudden, unexplained rallies, particularly by few stocks.

  2. DotCom Bubble – 2000

 Crash trigger: Internet company overhype, primarily in the US, but Indian IT stocks were impacted too.

 Impact: Several technology stocks such as Infosys and Wipro made steep corrections.

 Lesson: Steer clear of herd mentality and unsustainable valuations.

 3. Global Financial Crisis – 2008

 Crash trigger: Lehman Brothers collapse owing to US subprime mortgage crisis.

 Impact: Sensex plunged from 21,000 to 8,000 (~60% decline).

 Recovery: Recovery took 2 years.

 Lesson: Indian markets can be significantly affected by events from around the world.

  4. COVID19 Crash – March 2020

 Crash trigger: Global lockdown, economic collapse fear.

 Impact: Nifty plummeted almost 38% in one month.

 Recovery: Steep V shape recovery; Nifty hit all time highs by Nov 2020.

 Lesson: Crashes tend to offer best buying opportunities.

  5. Adani Group Rout – Jan 2023

 Crash trigger: Hindenburg Research report accused Adani Group of manipulation.

 Impact: Adani shares plunged 50–70%, pulling down Nifty.

 Lesson: Cringe at overleveraged and overvalued conglomerates.

 Common Investor Reactions During Crashes

1. Panic Selling

Investors sell in panic, usually at a loss, locking in the damage.

2. Freezing

   Remaining inactive out of confusion or fear, missing re entry points.

3. Overtrading

   Attempting to salvage losses by aggressive buying/selling, resulting in additional errors.

4. Chasing False Hope

   Investing in 'cheap' shares without analyzing fundamentals.

  What Should Investors Do During a Market Crash?

 ✅ 1. Stay Calm, Don't Panic

Market crashes are a part of the cycle. Panic creates poor judgment calls. Instead, think about your investment goals and time horizon.

If longterm goals (5+ years), shortterm crashes won't concern you.

 ✅ 2. Don't Check Portfolio Daily

Your portfolio will be red during crashes. Constant monitoring heightens anxiety and leads you to emotional decisions.

 Discipline > Emotions

 ✅ 3. Don't Attempt to Time the Bottom

Catching the bottom precisely is not possible, even for experts.

Instead:

 Invest using SIP (Systematic Investment Plans) to keep investing

 Invest using STP (Systematic Transfer Plan) to phase money into equities

 Example:

During the COVID crash in Mar 2020, those who invested lump sum on 23rd Mar (bottom) were lucky—but those who continued to invest through SIPs from Feb–Jun also earned good returns in the long run.

 ✅ 4. Stick to Quality Stocks and Funds

In crashes, weak businesses can fold completely. Prioritize:

 Largecap stocks: HDFC Bank, Infosys, Reliance, TCS

 Blue chip mutual funds

 Low debt, high margin companies

Example:

During 2008 crash, Satyam Computers folded because of a scam, but Infosys rebounded and touched new highs in a few years.

 ✅ 5. Buy Gradually When Market Falls

If you have spare cash, utilize dips to add more, but in tranches:

 Divide your capital into 3–4 tranches.

 Invest every 5–10% fall.

 Example:

In march 2020, if you invested ₹20,000 whenever Nifty fell 5%, you'd have bought at a wonderful average price.

 ✅ 6. Rebalance Your Portfolio

If equity is too small a proportion in your portfolio because of a crash:

 Transfer some money from debt to equity

 This enhances longterm returns

Example:

If your equity fell to 35% from 50%—buy equity to restore it to balance.

 ✅ 7. Don't Stop SIPs

In the 2020 crash, most halted SIPs out of fear—missing the Vshaped recovery.

 SIPs are best when markets are low.

You purchase more units for the same price. This lowers average cost and increases longterm returns.

 ✅ 8. Use Crash to Review, Not React

A crash is an excellent time to:

 Reverify your asset allocation

 Close poor quality assets

 Get back to longterm planning

Don't:

 Leaping into crypto or riskier smallcaps because they're "inexpensive"

Crash and Recovery – COVID 2020 Case Study

Let's see some data:

| Date           | Nifty 50 Level | Event                             |

| Jan 2020       | 12,300         | PreCOVID high                    |

| March 23, 2020 | 7,511          | COVID crash bottom (38% fall)     |

| Nov 2020       | 13,000+        | Fully recovered (within 8 months) |

| Dec 2021       | 17,000+        | Hit new alltime highs

Investors who:

 Remained invested: Recovered and profited

 Invested through crash: Had tremendous returns

 Panic sold out: Lost money or missed the rebound

Tools to Monitor Market Sentiment

Use these indicators during crashes:

 India VIX: High VIX = fear = possible bottoming

 PutCall Ratio (PCR): Extremely low PCR indicates panic

 FII/DII Data: See if institutions are buying

 MACD/RSI Indicators: Technical oversold zones

  Key Principles to Follow

1. Have an Emergency Fund (6 months expenses)

   So you don’t sell investments during panic.

2. Stick to Asset Allocation

   Don’t go 100% equity or debt. Balance is key.

3. Invest with a Purpose, Not for the Sake of Returns

Associate investments with purposes such as retirement, house, e tc.

4. Practice Long Term Thinking

Each and every crash has always been succeeded by a recovery.

  Last Words

Crashs in the market are frightening, but they are also chances for well-disciplined investors. History has consistently demonstrated again and again:

 "Be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy." – Warren Buffett

If you:

 Stay calm,

 Invest in quality assets,

 Continue SIPs,

 And use dips smartly…

…you’ll not only survive the crash—you’ll come out wealthier on the other side.

 Remember: A crash is just a storm. The sky clears eventually.

Let your strategy—not your emotions—drive your decisions.

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Lakshay Jain
About author
Lakshay Jain
From
Delhi

( Submitted Blogs & Articles = 43 )

Mr. Jatin Soni is certified by NISM in Currency Derivatives, Equity Derivatives, Commodity Derivatives, Research Analysis, and Technical analysis. Having more than 4 years of extensive experience as a full time trader spanning diverse market conditions, Jatin has adeptly applied his knowledge to trading. Also a dedicated faculty member and coach, specializing in helping students understand all facets of the market and apply his knowledge effectively in real-world scenarios.

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